First you need to start with an understanding of what the stock market is and why it is important to everyone, this is discussed in some of my other posts.
Start with looking at major things that drive the world market.
For example (looking at the previous year)
U.S. - China tension
U.S. Elections
COVID-19
Other strategies include:
Momentum and looking at the behavior of the market.
Look at market trends like the ups and downs.
We have inflation (look at the gas prices) this affects the money coming in
Look at the federal reserves, they are saying they wont raise rates, which ultimately wont help out investments.
Monte Carlo Simulation - model used to predict the probability of different outcomes when the intervention of random variable is present. This helps calculate potential risk and uncertainty for forecasting investments.
The VIX - Measuring predicted risk for the next 30 days. Looking at the amount of stress and fear levels, here the lower the index the less risk.
